Papers and Publications

Help for the Heartland? The Employment and Electoral Effects of the Trump Tariffs in the US.
Working Paper, 2024, with David Autor, Anne Beck and Gordon Hanson.

Labour Market Impacts of the China Shock: Why the Tide of Globalisation Did Not Lift all Boats.
Labour Economics, forthcoming, with Peter Levell.

Trading Places: Mobility Responses of Native and Foreign-Born Adults to the China Trade Shock.
Industrial and Labor Relations Review, forthcoming, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.

Trade and Inequality in Europe and the US.
Oxford Open Economics, 3, i1042-i1068, 2024, with Peter Levell. [Chapter of the IFS Deaton Review on Inequalities].

On the Persistence of the China Shock.
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 381-447, 2021, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson. [Online Appendix].

Migration and Labor Market Integration in Europe.
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 35(2): 49-76, 2021, with Josef Zweimüller. [Online Appendix].

Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents.
American Economic Review: Insights, 2(3): 357-374, 2020, with David Autor, Gordon Hanson, Gary Pisano and Pian Shu. [Online Appendix].

Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure.
American Economic Review, 110(10): 3139-3189, 2020, with David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Kaveh Majlesi. [Online Appendix] [A Note on the 2016 Presidential Election].

Import Competition and Public Attitudes towards Trade.
IFS Deaton Review on Inequalities, 176, 2020, with Alex Davenport and Peter Levell.

The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms.
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2): 645-709, 2020, with David Autor, Lawrence Katz, Christina Patterson and John Van Reenen. [Online Appendix].

When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Young Men.
American Economic Review: Insights, 1(2): 161-178, 2019, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.
[Online Appendix].

Concentrating on the Fall of the Labor Share.
American Economic Review, P&P, 107(5): 180-185, 2017, with David Autor, Lawrence Katz, Christina Patterson and John Van Reenen.

The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade.
Annual Review of Economics, 8: 205-240, 2016, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.

Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s.
Journal of Labor Economics, 34(S1): S141-S198, 2016, with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Brendan Price.

Untangling Trade and Technology: Evidence from Local Labour Markets.
Economic Journal, 125(584), 621-646, 2015, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.

Trade Adjustment: Worker Level Evidence.
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(4), 1799-1860, 2014, with David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Jae Song. [Online Appendix].

Return of the Solow Paradox? IT, Productivity and Employment in U.S. Manufacturing.
American Economic Review, P&P, 104(5), 394-399, 2014, with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Brendan Price. [Online Appendix].

The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States.
American Economic Review, 103(6), 2121-2168, 2013, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.
[Online Appendix].

The Growth of Low Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the U.S. Labor Market.
American Economic Review, 103(5), 1553-1597, 2013, with David Autor. [Online Appendix].

The Geography of Trade and Technology Shocks in the United States.
American Economic Review, P&P, 103(3), 220-225, 2013, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.

This Job Is 'Getting Old:' Measuring Changes in Job Opportunities Using Occupational Age Structure.
American Economic Review, P&P, 99(2), 45-51, 2009, with David Autor.

Price and Prejudice: The Interaction between Preferences and Incentives in the Dynamics of Racial Segregation. Working Paper, 2010.

'Voluntary' and 'Involuntary' Early Retirement: An International Analysis.
Applied Economics 42(4): 427-438, 2010, with Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

Direct Democracy and Life Satisfaction Revisited: New Evidence for Switzerland.
Journal of Happiness Studies 9(2): 227-251, 2008, with Justina Fischer, Gebhard Kirchgässner and Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

Is It Culture or Democracy? The Impact of Democracy and Culture on Happiness.
Social Indicators Research 82(3): 505-526, 2007, with Justina Fischer, Gebhard Kirchgässner and Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

The Determinants of Early Retirement in Switzerland.
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics 141(2): 247-283, 2005, with Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

Why is the Employment Rate of Older Swiss so High? An Institutional Analysis.
Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance 28: 652-674, 2003, with Alfonso Sousa-Poza.